> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.driven.ai/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Macro Research

> How to research macro themes in Driven: interest rates, geopolitics, and policy, and connect them to specific stocks and sectors that stand to benefit or suffer.

This guide covers researching macro themes, the big forces like interest rates, policy shifts, and geopolitics, and turning them into actionable investment ideas. Macro research is most useful when you connect the theme back to specific names, which is exactly what Driven is built to do.

The Skill behind this workflow is [Deep Research](/skills/deep-research).

## When to use this

* Understanding how a macro event affects markets
* Finding the companies that benefit or suffer from a policy change
* Building a view on a theme (rates, inflation, a geopolitical shift)
* Getting context before a major scheduled event (FOMC, key data releases)

## Step 1: Frame the theme

```text theme={null}
Run Deep Research on [macro theme]. Explain the dynamics, the likely paths, the key risks, and which markets and sectors are most exposed.
```

Example:

```text theme={null}
Run Deep Research on the impact of sustained higher interest rates on US equities. Which sectors are most exposed, and what's the transmission mechanism?
```

## Step 2: Connect macro to specific names

This is the step that turns a thesis into an idea:

```text theme={null}
Based on this theme, identify the public companies most positively and most negatively exposed, and explain the channel for each.
```

## Step 3: Stress-test the thesis

Macro views are easy to hold and hard to verify. Challenge it:

```text theme={null}
What's the strongest argument against this macro thesis, and what data would tell me I'm wrong?
```

## Step 4: Set up monitoring

Macro themes play out over time. Track them:

```text theme={null}
Set up a weekly summary of the key data and events relevant to [theme], and flag anything that changes the picture.
```

See [Macro event tracker](/guides/scheduled/macro-event-tracker) to automate this.

## Common mistakes

* **Stopping at the thesis.** A macro view with no named beneficiaries is an opinion, not an idea.
* **Ignoring what's priced in.** Markets often anticipate macro shifts; ask what is already reflected.
* **Treating macro as certain.** Frame it in probabilities and watch for disconfirming data.

## Prompt variations

```text theme={null}
How would [specific policy change] flow through to [sector]? Map the winners and losers.
```

```text theme={null}
What does the current rate environment mean for [specific stock or sector]?
```

## Related

* [Deep Research Skill](/skills/deep-research) — the workflow behind this guide
* [Macro event tracker](/guides/scheduled/macro-event-tracker) — monitor themes over time
* [Sector deep dive](/guides/research/sector-deep-dive) — drill into an exposed sector